The Whistle
Trades whose timing was statistically unusual for that security — and which also sat against committee work the member was part of, a vote they cast, or a shutdown or lame-duck window.
What "unusual" means here, exactly. For each trade we ask a testable question: if this member had traded this same security on a random day instead, how often would they have done at least this well against the market over the next 90 trading days? Two hundred random dates are drawn from that security's own price history. The p-value is the share of them that did as well or better. A p-value of 0.02 means only 2% of random timings in that stock beat this one. When none of the 200 beat it, we report <0.005, not 0: the test can show a timing was rarer than 1 in 200, never that it was impossible.
What it does not mean. It is not a probability of guilt, or of innocence. It does not measure intent, knowledge, or wrongdoing. Someone has to be in the top few percent — across tens of thousands of trades, unusual things happen constantly by chance alone. That is precisely why an unusual p-value on its own is not flagged here: a Whistle also requires a documented connection, and a size floor of $15,000 so token amounts do not generate noise.
The published rules
| Rule | What it requires | Flags |
|---|---|---|
| huddle_timing | Unusually timed trade inside a committee window, p ≤ 0.05, at least $15,000 | 75 |
| window_timing | Unusually timed trade during a shutdown or lame-duck window, p ≤ 0.05, at least $15,000 | 48 |
| vote_timing | Unusually timed sale before a vote the member cast, p ≤ 0.05, at least $15,000 | 23 |
Every threshold is fixed and published — nothing here is tuned per member or per trade. The full definitions are on Methodology.
48 flagged trades.
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p-value <0.005 trade date2020-11-12 member Greg Gianforte R-MT ticker IWN actionbuy amount (as filed)$500,001 – $1,000,000 excess vs market +26.5% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value <0.005 trade date2026-03-16 member Kevin Hern R-OK ticker ACN Business Services actionsell amount (as filed)$250,001 – $500,000 excess vs market +36.6% rulewindow_timing
This sale was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value <0.005 trade date2025-10-07 member Tommy Tuberville R-AL ticker ORCL Software & IT Services actionsell amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +48.0% rulewindow_timing
This sale was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value <0.005 trade date2025-10-07 member Tommy Tuberville R-AL ticker MSFT Software & IT Services actionsell amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +26.5% rulewindow_timing
This sale was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value <0.005 trade date2025-10-31 member Tim Moore R-NC ticker VZ Telecommunications actionbuy amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +34.2% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value <0.005 trade date2025-10-28 member Kevin Hern R-OK ticker MSFT Software & IT Services actionsell amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +23.7% rulewindow_timing
This sale was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value <0.005 trade date2025-10-30 member Lisa C. McClain R-MI ticker MSFT Software & IT Services actionsell amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +21.5% rulewindow_timing
This sale was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value <0.005 trade date2025-10-31 member Lisa C. McClain R-MI ticker MSFT Software & IT Services actionsell amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +20.7% rulewindow_timing
This sale was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value <0.005 trade date2025-11-05 member Tim Moore R-NC ticker VZ Telecommunications actionbuy amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +29.2% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value <0.005 trade date2025-11-12 member Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. D-CA ticker CP Transportation actionbuy amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +13.9% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value <0.005 trade date2026-03-12 member Tim Moore R-NC ticker HOG Industrials actionbuy amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +42.1% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value <0.005 trade date2020-11-09 member Alan S. Lowenthal D-CA ticker IWN actionbuy amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +28.9% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value <0.005 trade date2019-01-25 member Katherine M. Clark D-MA ticker KHC Food & Beverage actionsell amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +44.4% rulewindow_timing
This sale was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value <0.005 trade date2025-10-29 member Shelley Moore Capito R-WV ticker MSFT Software & IT Services actionsell amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +23.6% rulewindow_timing
This sale was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value <0.005 trade date2026-03-13 member Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. D-CA ticker IBM Technology Hardware actionsell amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +27.5% rulewindow_timing
This sale was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.005 trade date2026-02-03 member Cleo Fields D-LA ticker AMD Semiconductors actionbuy amount (as filed)$50,001 – $100,000 excess vs market +103.4% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.005 trade date2025-10-28 member Kevin Hern R-OK ticker BSX Medical Devices actionsell amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +29.6% rulewindow_timing
This sale was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.005 trade date2020-12-22 member Virginia Foxx R-NC ticker OLP Investment Funds actionbuy amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +19.4% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.005 trade date2020-11-30 member K. Michael Conaway R-TX ticker AAL Transportation actionbuy amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +47.6% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.005 trade date2020-11-17 member Mark E. Green R-TN ticker USDP actionbuy amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +65.7% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.005 trade date2020-11-24 member Mark E. Green R-TN ticker USDP actionbuy amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +52.8% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.005 trade date2018-12-20 member David B. McKinley R-WV ticker ROP Medical Devices actionbuy amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +17.5% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.005 trade date2022-11-30 member Dan Sullivan R-AK ticker RPM Chemicals actionsell amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +21.1% rulewindow_timing
This sale was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.005 trade date2020-11-04 member Pat Roberts R-KS ticker COST Retail & Consumer actionsell amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +26.2% rulewindow_timing
This sale was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.005 trade date2026-02-18 member Rick W. Allen R-GA ticker INTU Software & IT Services actionsell amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +40.0% rulewindow_timing
This sale was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because fewer than 1 in 200 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.010 trade date2026-02-03 member Cleo Fields D-LA ticker MU Semiconductors actionbuy amount (as filed)$100,001 – $250,000 excess vs market +126.3% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because only about 1 in 100 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.010 trade date2020-11-09 member Mark E. Green R-TN ticker USAC Utilities actionbuy amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +40.0% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because only about 1 in 100 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.010 trade date2022-11-30 member Dan Sullivan R-AK ticker RPM Chemicals actionsell amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +21.1% rulewindow_timing
This sale was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because only about 1 in 100 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.015 trade date2025-10-07 member Tim Moore R-NC ticker VZ Telecommunications actionbuy amount (as filed)$50,001 – $100,000 excess vs market +20.0% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because only about 1 in 67 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.015 trade date2025-10-10 member Tim Moore R-NC ticker VZ Telecommunications actionbuy amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +19.9% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because only about 1 in 67 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.015 trade date2020-11-04 member Pat Roberts R-KS ticker COST Retail & Consumer actionsell amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +26.2% rulewindow_timing
This sale was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because only about 1 in 67 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.015 trade date2025-10-16 member Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. D-CA ticker GDDY Software & IT Services actionsell amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +37.3% rulewindow_timing
This sale was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because only about 1 in 67 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.015 trade date2025-10-10 member Cleo Fields D-LA ticker GOOGL Software & IT Services actionbuy amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +27.3% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because only about 1 in 67 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.020 trade date2018-12-12 member Josh Gottheimer D-NJ ticker FB actionsell amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +5.8% rulewindow_timing
This sale was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because only about 1 in 50 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.020 trade date2020-11-09 member Mark E. Green R-TN ticker ET Utilities actionbuy amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +36.4% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because only about 1 in 50 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.020 trade date2020-11-06 member Brian J. Mast R-FL ticker TLRY Pharmaceuticals & Biotech actionbuy amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +151.2% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because only about 1 in 50 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.030 trade date2025-10-10 member Cleo Fields D-LA ticker GOOG Software & IT Services actionbuy amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +26.8% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because only about 1 in 33 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.035 trade date2018-12-18 member Bradley Scott Schneider D-IL ticker TTWO Software & IT Services actionsell amount (as filed)$100,001 – $250,000 excess vs market +22.8% rulewindow_timing
This sale was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because only about 1 in 29 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.035 trade date2020-11-09 member Mark E. Green R-TN ticker AM Utilities actionbuy amount (as filed)$50,001 – $100,000 excess vs market +37.9% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because only about 1 in 29 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.035 trade date2020-11-13 member Greg Gianforte R-MT ticker BCS Banking actionbuy amount (as filed)$50,001 – $100,000 excess vs market +31.7% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because only about 1 in 29 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.035 trade date2025-10-14 member Scott Franklin R-FL ticker UNP Transportation actionbuy amount (as filed)$50,001 – $100,000 excess vs market +14.0% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because only about 1 in 29 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.040 trade date2025-10-29 member Shelley Moore Capito R-WV ticker IBM Technology Hardware actionsell amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +17.0% rulewindow_timing
This sale was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because only about 1 in 25 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.040 trade date2024-12-12 member Rick W. Allen R-GA ticker ROL Business Services actionbuy amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +22.1% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because only about 1 in 25 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.045 trade date2022-11-14 member Carol D. Miller R-WV ticker EFA actionbuy amount (as filed)$50,001 – $100,000 excess vs market +6.5% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because only about 1 in 22 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.045 trade date2020-11-17 member Mark E. Green R-TN ticker AM Utilities actionbuy amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +27.9% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because only about 1 in 22 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.045 trade date2020-11-04 member Pat Roberts R-KS ticker NVDA Semiconductors actionsell amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +19.4% rulewindow_timing
This sale was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because only about 1 in 22 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.045 trade date2018-12-31 member Thomas MacArthur R-NJ ticker NXPI Semiconductors actionbuy amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +21.3% rulewindow_timing
This purchase was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because only about 1 in 22 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
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p-value 0.050 trade date2018-12-27 member Steve Cohen D-TN ticker CVS Retail & Consumer actionsell amount (as filed)$15,001 – $50,000 excess vs market +29.5% rulewindow_timing
This sale was flagged because it happened during a government shutdown or a lame-duck session, and because only about 1 in 20 random days in this stock did as well. The timing worked out well against the market over the following three months. This could mean the timing was informed — or that it was luck, an adviser's routine, or a reaction to news that everybody had. Nothing here says which.
A flag is a prompt to look, not a conclusion. Definitions: The Whistle and The Line. Method and every threshold: Methodology.